Where do we go from here?

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Dr. McGahan is a Professor of Radiology and the Director of Abdominal Imaging and Ultrasound at the University of California Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA. He is also a member of the editorial board of this journal.

The practice of ultrasound differs greatly when viewed from a worldwide perspective. Without a doubt, sonography is the most utilized cross-sectional imaging device in medicine. The growth of medical ultrasound continues to expand as applications for ultrasound continue to grow. However, who performs and interprets ultrasound exams is quite different from continent to continent, country to country, and, at times, even city to city. In the United States much of inpatient ultrasonography is performed by radiologists, while much of the outpatient sonography is performed by clinical specialists. In many countries, clinicians often dominate the use of sonography.

Recently, a number of manufacturers have introduced newer, smaller portable ultrasound units. While the resolution of these units do not surpass that of the "high-end" ultrasound units, their image quality is certainly on par with the images of the "best" ultrasound units of a few years ago. Thus the question arises, "Will ultrasound become the stethoscope of the future?" Will clinicians use ultrasound in their day-to-day practice as they use their stethoscopes? Will a patient who presents to a physician's office or to the emergency room be examined for gallstones by the clinician as part of their initial evaluation? Will, in fact, clinicians of the future use ultrasound in a similar fashion as Star Trek's Dr. McCoy did with his probe that scanned the patient? What does all this mean to the radiology community?

Recently, at our institution we have seen tremendous growth in performance of ultrasound in radiology. Sonography has become a very cost-competitive imaging modality. Ultrasound is relatively inexpensive, widely available, and can be performed in an expedient fashion. These advantages of ultrasound will no doubt increase the use of sonography, but the questions remain: will we have continued growth of ultrasound performed by radiologists or will the pendulum swing with radiologists losing this marvelous tool to our clinical colleagues? The answer is not certain. I can only think a few years back when predictions were made concerning the future manpower needs in radiology. There were careful calculations, and then there were warnings concerning the "glut" of radiologists in the marketplace. In retrospect, it is easy to see how flawed these predictions were. Likewise, it is probably impossible to predict with any accuracy the future role of radiologists in performing and interpreting ultrasounds.

Whether their role decreases, stagnates, or increases depends on a number of different factors, some of which we can probably not even take into consideration at this time. One of the factors depends on the advances of ultrasound equipment and new and different uses of sonography. No doubt there will be future advances in ultrasound imaging. For instance, as contrast agents become widely used in ultrasound, the use of contrast-enhanced sonography by radiologists will probably increase. It is important that radiologists thus continue their role in this and other areas of ultrasound research. It is imperative that we take the lead in this area to pioneer new and different uses for sonography. Furthermore, our role in ultrasound education cannot diminish, whether during residency or after training. It is also important that we set high standards as radiologists.

The American College of Radiology has taken a leadership role in setting standards in all facets of diagnostic imaging, including sonography. Market factors and reimbursement patterns for ultrasound may change in the future, which may be to the benefit or the detriment of radiologists performing ultrasound. In any case, it is hard to predict with any amount of certainty how radiologists' roles in ultrasound will change in the future. There is no doubt that currently there is an expanded use of ultrasound in a number of different areas. It is imperative that we as radiologists continue to learn about these new uses of sonography to maintain our expertise in the field.

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