Summary: Dr. Mirvis is the Editor in Chief of this journal and a Professor of Radiology, Diagnostic Imaging Department, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. This title is an old joke that gets bandied about whenever the job market
Dr. Mirvis is the Editor-in-Chief of this journal and a
Professor of Radiology, Diagnostic Imaging Department, University of
Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
This title is an
old joke that gets bandied about whenever the job market in radiology
becomes “more competitive.” Imagine the horror of carrying around a
sandwich board through the streets looking for a few films to interpret
that no one else is interested in. Are we there yet? I think not, but
clearly the market is tight for jobs in our specialty.
Why is that
the case? I feel certain that everyone knows at least some of the
story, assuming one has paid any attention to the world since2008. We
had the second worst “crash” in the stock market since the Great
Depression. It was created largely by the debt burden of virtually
unrestricted lending in the housing market made worse by major banks
selling this nicely decorated bad debt all over the world. Unemployment
remains stubbornly high with no clear improvement in sight. While the
U.S. economy has rebounded from the steep recession, it remains
essentially stalled. The specter of another economic swoon crops up
every other day in the press. The huge U.S. budget deficit isnot being
addressed and holds the short and long-term economic future of our
country hostage. The entities that pay for our services are constantly
cutting back reimbursement with more cuts to follow, likely far more
draconian compared to what we have seen thus far. Congress seems to have
terminal constipation in passing legislation to address our economic
issues (and many others for that matter), continually shirking its
fundamental responsibilities to the nation for personal and party
political expediency.
Europe is in a morass of economic strife
from overwhelming debt in several member countries, only now being
partially addressed, that threatens the existence of the current world
financial structure. The world’s other major economic driver, China, has
slowing economic growth as its customers stop buying the plethora of
products the country sells. Otherwise, everything is just peachy.
The
erosion of radiology’s traditional service base, both diagnostic and
procedural, continues unabated. Large academic institutions and
“nighthawk” services compete with private-practice groups for
after-hours interpretation and in some cases sell their services at all
hours for nonprocedure-based study interpretation. These larger practice
entities are immediately available, potentially offer
subspecialty-level interpretation, and are cost competitive based on
scale of service and a lower expected salary structure than private
practice. This development is a natural outgrowth of the commoditization
of radiology brought to you by the double-edged sword of electronic
transfer and storage. Self-referral for radiology services is out of
control and by far the fastest rising cost component of imaging
reimbursement, but one that few governmental agencies or payers seem
interested in interceding.1 Given all these conditions,who
can blame established practices, both academic and private, from manning
the walls and keeping the drawbridge up? Salaries and benefits are the
most expensive costs in a practice. Also, the hair-trigger volatility of
the financial markets has forced “retired”radiologists back to work,
and who can blame the current population of retirement-age radiologists
from biding their time while looking for safe, stable investments with
returns that can just, at best, keep up with inflation, which
fortunately remains under control at the moment. The guarantee of a
high-paying job most people going into medicine, and perhaps
particularly into radiology, expected is on shaky ground.
While
conditions for securing an ideal position are not great, we have
certainly tread on similar paths before. I think that the situation the
nation finds itself in now is not a typical “down” business cycle;
rather clearly something more difficult and less transient than that,
but such business cycles are still superimposed on overall macroeconomic
situations. In other words, some things will improve even when the
overall economic picture is not terrific. This is my opinion and not the
insight of an economist, whatever those are worth. A stable or slightly
improving economy coupled with the continued aging of the work force
and disgust with the ever-growing workload will drive more radiologists
into partial or complete retirement. Hopefully, new technologies will
arise or expand to create more job opportunities as we saw with computed
tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); perhaps these
developments will not be the game changers they were,but they will help.
We
must give thanks to the malpractice lawyers who keep us so busy ruling
out everything. They create enough anxiety in our referring colleagues
to keep the anodes rotating day and night. We need them as much as they
need us.
Jobs are, of course, still out there. To get one you need
to optimize your training within reason and establish yourself as a
hard-working,dedicated, caring doc in your current environment. Expect
to look longer and harder and probably to take a position
less-than-perfectly suited to you. You may live in a place that is not
your personal Garden of Eden, but it may grow on you. You will probably
need to consider a lower starting salary than expected and a partnership
may be farther off than has been traditional. Be willing to be flexible
and separate real requirements from desires. Don’t be married to any
expectation that current circumstances may force you to divorce.
There
is another item that worries me about the current state of the
radiology job market. We must not “eat our own.” When I talk to
finishing residents and fellows about their job searches I hear some
disturbing comments. These concern interviews where they were treated
disrespectfully and told how lucky they were just to be invited. I have
seen advertised and heard about job offers that were composed of the
most undesirable parts of a practice that no one else in the group
wanted to cover. Fellows have been offered positions where they were
specifically told they would not have an opportunity to work in their
area of specialization and other jobs where specialty skills in multiple
simultaneous areas (like mammography, ultrasound, and
neurointervention) were required. Salary scales were lower and work
demands higher than had been traditional for given practices.
If
we are to have any long-term existence as a specialty, we must have each
other’s backs to some degree. While radiology practice, like all
medical specialties, is at root a competitive business, in my career I
have generally experienced a high level of camaraderie and mutual
support among us. Perhaps we all recognize a special vulnerability we
feel from larger medical specialties chipping away at our
traditional“turf” and the potential for easier regulatory manipulation
by governmental agencies given our relatively small numbers compared to
most other specialties and therefore lack of political influence. While
in general radiologists have held the line pretty well, cracks are
beginning to appear as more pressure is applied, exacerbated by the
current economy. The wider the cracks become the less we will be able to
preserve the specialty as we practice it now. We must realize that we
are all in the same boat and try our best not to alienate each other.
This may require being less competitive, more collaborative, and perhaps
even coping with decreased income for a time. Certainly not a popular
idea,but one that may help us ride through this storm with less
destruction until things get better. And in time, they will.
References
- Kouri BE, Parsons RG, Alpert HR. Physician self-referral for diagnostic imaging: Review of the empiric literature. AJR Am J Roentgenol. 2002;79:843-850.